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Updated 1st August 2023

Predispatch model

p7day model

Model_id

20230729_213406_CB_2

20230213_012319_CB_7D_1

Previous model release date

20th April 2023

20th April 2023

Latest release date (after retraining)

1st August 2023

1st August 2023

Machine Learning Algorithm

Ensemble predictor: gradient boosting

Ensemble predictor: gradient boosting

Training Period

1st October 2020 to 20th July 2023

1st October 2020 to 20th July 2023

Hyper-parameter type

A

A

Hyper-parameter notes

No weighting across time periods

No weighting across time periods

Target

Dispatchprice (30min resolution)

Dispatchprice (30min resolution)

Input (and training) variables

PREDISPATCHPRICE

rrp

DISPATCHPRICE

last 3 day average actual RRP for same time

PREDISPATCHREGIONSUM (intervention = 0)

hours_out

time_of_day

day_type (weekday_or_weekend)

dispatchableload

netinterchage

(availablegeneration - uigf)

(dispatchablegeneration - scheduled_clearedmw)

ss_solar_clearedmw

ss_solar_uigf

ss_wind_clearedmw

ss_wind_uigf

totaldemand

totalintermittentgeneration

STPASA_REGIONSOLUTION

hours_out

time_of_day

day_type (weekday_or_weekend)

aggregatepasaavailability

aggregatescheduledload

netinterchangeunderscarcity

aggregatecapacityavailable

ss_solar_cleared

ss_wind_uigf

ss_wind_cleared

ss_solar_uigf

demand10

demand50

totalintermittentgeneration

demand_and_nonschedgen

Variables that imply binding interconnectors (such as limits and marginal values) are currently not included as features.


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