Current model summary
Predispatch model | p7day model | |
|---|---|---|
Model_id | 20221129_171124_CB_1 | 20230213_012319_CB_7D_1 |
First release date | 9th December 2022 | 20th April 2023 |
Latest release date (after retraining) | 4th April 2023 | 20th April 2023 |
Machine Learning Algorithm | Ensemble predictor: gradient boosting | Ensemble predictor: gradient boosting |
Training Period | March 2018 to 30th March 2023 | March 2018 to 30th March 2023 |
Hyper-parameter type | A | A |
Hyper-parameter notes | No weighting across time periods | No weighting across time periods |
Target | Dispatchprice (30min resolution) | Dispatchprice (30min resolution) |
Input (and training) variables | PREDISPATCHPRICE rrp rolling_rrp PREDISPATCHREGIONSUM (intervention = 0) dispatchableload netinterchange (availablegeneration - uigf) (dispatchablegeneration - scheduled_clearedmw) ss_solar_clearedmw ss_solar_uigf ss_wind_clearedmw ss_wind_uigf totaldemand totalintermittentgeneration | aggregatescheduledload netinterchangeunderscarcity unconstrainedcapacity aggregatecapacityavailable constrainedcapacity ss_solar_cleared ss_wind_uigf ss_wind_cleared ss_solar_uigf demand50 totalintermittentgeneration demand_and_nonschedgen |
pd features
p7day features
[
'HOURS_OUT',
'AGGREGATESCHEDULEDLOAD_NSW1', 'AGGREGATESCHEDULEDLOAD_QLD1', 'AGGREGATESCHEDULEDLOAD_SA1', 'AGGREGATESCHEDULEDLOAD_TAS1', 'AGGREGATESCHEDULEDLOAD_VIC1',
'DEMAND50_NSW1', 'DEMAND50_QLD1', 'DEMAND50_SA1', 'DEMAND50_TAS1', 'DEMAND50_VIC1',
'DEMAND_AND_NONSCHEDGEN_NSW1', 'DEMAND_AND_NONSCHEDGEN_QLD1', 'DEMAND_AND_NONSCHEDGEN_SA1', 'DEMAND_AND_NONSCHEDGEN_TAS1', 'DEMAND_AND_NONSCHEDGEN_VIC1',
'NETINTERCHANGEUNDERSCARCITY_NSW1', 'NETINTERCHANGEUNDERSCARCITY_QLD1', 'NETINTERCHANGEUNDERSCARCITY_SA1', 'NETINTERCHANGEUNDERSCARCITY_TAS1', 'NETINTERCHANGEUNDERSCARCITY_VIC1',
'SS_SOLAR_CLEARED_NSW1', 'SS_SOLAR_CLEARED_QLD1', 'SS_SOLAR_CLEARED_SA1', 'SS_SOLAR_CLEARED_TAS1', 'SS_SOLAR_CLEARED_VIC1',
'SS_SOLAR_UIGF_NSW1', 'SS_SOLAR_UIGF_QLD1', 'SS_SOLAR_UIGF_SA1', 'SS_SOLAR_UIGF_TAS1', 'SS_SOLAR_UIGF_VIC1',
'SS_WIND_CLEARED_NSW1', 'SS_WIND_CLEARED_QLD1', 'SS_WIND_CLEARED_SA1', 'SS_WIND_CLEARED_TAS1', 'SS_WIND_CLEARED_VIC1',
'SS_WIND_UIGF_NSW1', 'SS_WIND_UIGF_QLD1', 'SS_WIND_UIGF_SA1', 'SS_WIND_UIGF_TAS1', 'SS_WIND_UIGF_VIC1',
'TOTALINTERMITTENTGENERATION_NSW1', 'TOTALINTERMITTENTGENERATION_QLD1', 'TOTALINTERMITTENTGENERATION_SA1', 'TOTALINTERMITTENTGENERATION_TAS1', 'TOTALINTERMITTENTGENERATION_VIC1',
'UNCONSTRAINEDCAPACITY_NSW1', 'UNCONSTRAINEDCAPACITY_QLD1', 'UNCONSTRAINEDCAPACITY_SA1', 'UNCONSTRAINEDCAPACITY_TAS1', 'UNCONSTRAINEDCAPACITY_VIC1',
'CONSTRAINEDCAPACITY_NSW1', 'CONSTRAINEDCAPACITY_QLD1', 'CONSTRAINEDCAPACITY_SA1', 'CONSTRAINEDCAPACITY_TAS1', 'CONSTRAINEDCAPACITY_VIC1',
'AGGREGATECAPACITYAVAILABLE_NSW1', 'AGGREGATECAPACITYAVAILABLE_QLD1', 'AGGREGATECAPACITYAVAILABLE_SA1', 'AGGREGATECAPACITYAVAILABLE_TAS1', 'AGGREGATECAPACITYAVAILABLE_VIC1'
]
Variables that imply binding interconnectors (such as limits and marginal values) are currently not included as features.