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The retraining process resulted in two new models, one for PD and one for 7day price forecast. After experimentation we retrained the price forecasting models using existing features and hyper parameter settings. The increase in accuracy (using Absolute Mean Error, AME) was approximately 5%main benefit of the retrained model is that it includes the most recent market outcomes which will therefore be factored into the model. (see validation results table below comparing the previous models with the new models).
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Both PD and 7day price forecast models were trained on data between 01-07-2021 and 0801-0711-2024.
The market suspension period and a period after the Callide explosion were removed from the training data.
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