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Predispatch model

p7day model

Model_id

2022112920230729_171124213406_CB_12

20230213_012319_CB_7D_1

First Previous model release date

9th December 2022

20th April 2023

Latest release date (after retraining)

4th April 1st August 202320th April

1st August 2023

Machine Learning Algorithm

Ensemble predictor: gradient boosting

Ensemble predictor: gradient boosting

Training Period

March 2018 to 30th March 2023

March 2018 to 30th March 1st October 2020 to 20th July 2023

1st October 2020 to 20th July 2023

Hyper-parameter type

A

A

Hyper-parameter notes

No weighting across time periods

No weighting across time periods

Target

Dispatchprice (30min resolution)

Dispatchprice (30min resolution)

Input (and training) variables

PREDISPATCHPRICE

rrprolling_rrp

DISPATCHPRICE

last 3 day average actual RRP for same time

PREDISPATCHREGIONSUM (intervention = 0)

hours_out

time_of_day

day_type (weekday_or_weekend)

dispatchableload

netinterchangenetinterchage

(availablegeneration - uigf)

(dispatchablegeneration - scheduled_clearedmw)

ss_solar_clearedmw

ss_solar_uigf

ss_wind_clearedmw

ss_wind_uigf

totaldemand

totalintermittentgeneration

STPASA_REGIONSOLUTION

hours_out

time_of_day

day_type (weekday_or_weekend)

aggregatepasaavailability

aggregatescheduledload

netinterchangeunderscarcity

unconstrainedcapacity

aggregatecapacityavailableconstrainedcapacity

ss_solar_cleared

ss_wind_uigf

ss_wind_cleared

ss_solar_uigf

demand10

demand50

totalintermittentgeneration

demand_and_nonschedgen

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