Versions Compared

Key

  • This line was added.
  • This line was removed.
  • Formatting was changed.

...

Predispatch model

p7day model

Model_id

20221129_171124_CB_1

20230213_012319_CB_7D_1

First release date

9th December 2022

20th April 2023

Latest release date (after retraining)

4th April 2023

20th April 2023

Machine Learning Algorithm

Ensemble predictor: gradient boosting

Ensemble predictor: gradient boosting

Training Period

March 2018 to 30th March 2023

March 2018 to 30th March 2023

Hyper-parameter type

A

A

Hyper-parameter notes

No weighting across time periods

No weighting across time periods

Target

Dispatchprice (30min resolution)

Dispatchprice (30min resolution)

Input (and training) variables

PREDISPATCHPRICE

rrp

rolling_rrp

PREDISPATCHREGIONSUM (intervention = 0)

dispatchableload

netinterchange

(availablegeneration - uigf)

(dispatchablegeneration - scheduled_clearedmw)

ss_solar_clearedmw

ss_solar_uigf

ss_wind_clearedmw

ss_wind_uigf

totaldemand

totalintermittentgeneration

aggregatescheduledload

netinterchangeunderscarcity

unconstrainedcapacity

aggregatecapacityavailable

constrainedcapacity

ss_solar_cleared

ss_wind_uigf

ss_wind_cleared

ss_solar_uigf

demand50

totalintermittentgeneration

demand_and_nonschedgen

pd features

p7day features

[
    'HOURS_OUT',
    'AGGREGATESCHEDULEDLOAD_NSW1', 'AGGREGATESCHEDULEDLOAD_QLD1', 'AGGREGATESCHEDULEDLOAD_SA1', 'AGGREGATESCHEDULEDLOAD_TAS1', 'AGGREGATESCHEDULEDLOAD_VIC1',
    'DEMAND50_NSW1', 'DEMAND50_QLD1', 'DEMAND50_SA1', 'DEMAND50_TAS1', 'DEMAND50_VIC1',
    'DEMAND_AND_NONSCHEDGEN_NSW1', 'DEMAND_AND_NONSCHEDGEN_QLD1', 'DEMAND_AND_NONSCHEDGEN_SA1', 'DEMAND_AND_NONSCHEDGEN_TAS1', 'DEMAND_AND_NONSCHEDGEN_VIC1',
    'NETINTERCHANGEUNDERSCARCITY_NSW1', 'NETINTERCHANGEUNDERSCARCITY_QLD1', 'NETINTERCHANGEUNDERSCARCITY_SA1', 'NETINTERCHANGEUNDERSCARCITY_TAS1', 'NETINTERCHANGEUNDERSCARCITY_VIC1',
    'SS_SOLAR_CLEARED_NSW1', 'SS_SOLAR_CLEARED_QLD1', 'SS_SOLAR_CLEARED_SA1', 'SS_SOLAR_CLEARED_TAS1', 'SS_SOLAR_CLEARED_VIC1',
    'SS_SOLAR_UIGF_NSW1', 'SS_SOLAR_UIGF_QLD1', 'SS_SOLAR_UIGF_SA1', 'SS_SOLAR_UIGF_TAS1', 'SS_SOLAR_UIGF_VIC1',
    'SS_WIND_CLEARED_NSW1', 'SS_WIND_CLEARED_QLD1', 'SS_WIND_CLEARED_SA1', 'SS_WIND_CLEARED_TAS1', 'SS_WIND_CLEARED_VIC1',
    'SS_WIND_UIGF_NSW1', 'SS_WIND_UIGF_QLD1', 'SS_WIND_UIGF_SA1', 'SS_WIND_UIGF_TAS1', 'SS_WIND_UIGF_VIC1',
    'TOTALINTERMITTENTGENERATION_NSW1', 'TOTALINTERMITTENTGENERATION_QLD1', 'TOTALINTERMITTENTGENERATION_SA1', 'TOTALINTERMITTENTGENERATION_TAS1', 'TOTALINTERMITTENTGENERATION_VIC1',
    'UNCONSTRAINEDCAPACITY_NSW1', 'UNCONSTRAINEDCAPACITY_QLD1', 'UNCONSTRAINEDCAPACITY_SA1', 'UNCONSTRAINEDCAPACITY_TAS1', 'UNCONSTRAINEDCAPACITY_VIC1',
    'CONSTRAINEDCAPACITY_NSW1', 'CONSTRAINEDCAPACITY_QLD1', 'CONSTRAINEDCAPACITY_SA1', 'CONSTRAINEDCAPACITY_TAS1', 'CONSTRAINEDCAPACITY_VIC1',
    'AGGREGATECAPACITYAVAILABLE_NSW1', 'AGGREGATECAPACITYAVAILABLE_QLD1', 'AGGREGATECAPACITYAVAILABLE_SA1', 'AGGREGATECAPACITYAVAILABLE_TAS1', 'AGGREGATECAPACITYAVAILABLE_VIC1'
]

Info

Variables that imply binding interconnectors (such as limits and marginal values) are currently not included as features.

...