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Predispatch model

p7day model

Modelid

20221129_171124_CB_1

Model retraining date

4th April 2023

Machine Learning Algorithm

Random Forecast Regression

Random Forecast Regression

Training Period

March 2018 to 30th March 2023

Hyper-parameter type

A

A

Hyper-parameter notes

No weighting across time periods.

No weighting across time periods.

Target

Dispatchprice (30min resolution)

Dispatchprice (30min resolution)

Input (and training) variables

rrp

dispatchableload

netinterchange

rolling_rrp

(availablegeneration - uigf)

(dispatchablegeneration - scheduled_clearedmw)

ss_solar_clearedmw

ss_solar_uigf

ss_wind_clearedmw

ss_wind_uigf

totaldemand

totalintermittentgeneration

Machine learning algorithm details

Hyper parameters:

No weighting across time periods. It is likely that we’ll add weighting to more recent training periods.

To be disclosed with later release stages.

Model_id:

20221129_171124_CB_1

Input variables (features)

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Info

Variables that imply binding interconnectors (such as limits and marginal values) are currently not included as features.

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